World Cup Predictions

datasets/five-thirty-eight-datasets

Files	Size	Format	Created	Updated	License	Source
84		csv				FiveThirtyEight - World Cup Predictions

FiveThirtyEight's forecasts for the 2014 World Cup, including each team's SPI rating and chance of advancing, updated throughout the course of the tournment. The date and time of each update are indic...

File	Description	Size	Last modified	Download
wc-20140609-140000				wc-20140609-140000
wc-20140611-132709				wc-20140611-132709
wc-20140612-094254				wc-20140612-094254
wc-20140612-220228				wc-20140612-220228
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wc-20140701-184332				wc-20140701-184332
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wc-20140704-180211				wc-20140704-180211
wc-20140704-220110				wc-20140704-220110
wc-20140705-093245				wc-20140705-093245
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wc-20140706-091537				wc-20140706-091537
wc-20140707-100337				wc-20140707-100337
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wc-20140710-164509				wc-20140710-164509
wc-20140711-102258				wc-20140711-102258
wc-20140713-113900				wc-20140713-113900

Data Previews

wc-20140609-140000

wc-20140611-132709

wc-20140612-094254

wc-20140612-220228

wc-20140613-091928

2014 World Cup Tournament Predictions

Header	Definition
`spi`	Soccer Power Index
`spi_offense`	Soccer Power Index offensive rating
`spi_defense`	Soccer Power Index defensive rating
`win_group`	Change of coming in first place in the group stage
`sixteen`	Chance of advancing to the knockout stage
`quarter`	Chance of advancing to the quarter finals
`semi`	Chance of advancing to the semi-finals
`cup`	Chance of making it to the final game
`win`	Chance of winning the whole thing

Note: Projections from June 27 onward reflect an improvement to FiveThirtyEight's methodology for projecting knockout-round results that estimates each team's probability of winning in extra time based on its SPI ratings. Projections prior to June 27 instead split all extra-time games 50-50.

For the World Cup predictions interactive, click here.

For an explanation of SPI, click here.

This dataset was scraped from FiveThirtyEight - world-cup-predictions

Data Files