Forecast Methodology
| Files | Size | Format | Created | Updated | License | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7.08 kB | csv | over 6 years ago | FiveThirtyEight - Forecast Methodology |
This folder contains the data behind the story How The FiveThirtyEight Senate Forecast Model Works. Header | Definition state | Election year | Year of election candidate | Last name forecast\_prob ...
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Data Files
| File | Description | Size | Last modified | Download |
|---|---|---|---|---|
historical-senate-predictions | 7.08 kB | over 6 years ago | historical-senate-predictions |
Data Previews
historical-senate-predictions
Schema
| name | type | format |
|---|---|---|
| state | string | default |
| year | integer | default |
| candidate | string | default |
| forecast_prob | number | default |
| result | string | default |
| winflag | integer | default |
Historical FiveThirtyEight Senate Forecasts
This folder contains the data behind the story How The FiveThirtyEight Senate Forecast Model Works.
| Header | Definition |
|---|---|
state | Election |
year | Year of election |
candidate | Last name |
forecast_prob | Probability of winning election per FiveThirtyEight Election Day forecast |
result | Win or Loss |
For archived results, see:
- 2008 https://web.archive.org/web/20081106113055/http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/
- 2010 http://elections.nytimes.com/2010/forecasts/senate
- 2012 http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/fivethirtyeights-2012-forecast/
This dataset was scraped from FiveThirtyEight - forecast-methodology