Womens World Cup Predictions

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88251 kBcsvover 6 years agoFiveThirtyEight - Womens World Cup Predictions

FiveThirtyEight's forecasts for the 2015 World Cup, including each team's WSPI rating and chance of advancing, updated throughout the course of the tournment. The date and time of each update are indi...

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Data Files

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Data Previews

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2015 Women's World Cup Tournament Predictions

FiveThirtyEight's forecasts for the 2015 World Cup, including each team's WSPI rating and chance of advancing, updated throughout the course of the tournment. The date and time of each update are indicated in the file names. All times are in EDT.

Overall forecasts

Overall forecasts are stored in files named like wwc-forecast-YYYYMMDD-HHMMSS.csv.

HeaderDefinition
wspiWomen's Soccer Power Index
wspi_offenseWomen's Soccer Power Index offensive rating
wspi_defenseWomen's Soccer Power Index defensive rating
group_firstChance of coming in first place in the group stage
group_secondChance of coming in second place in the group stage
group_third_advanceChance of coming in third place in the group stage and advancing to the knockout stage
group_third_no_advanceChance of coming in third place in the group stage but not advancing to the knockout stage
group_fourthChance of coming in fourth place in the group stage
sixteenChance of advancing to the knockout stage
quarterChance of advancing to the quarter finals
semiChance of advancing to the semi-finals
cupChance of making it to the final game
winChance of winning the whole thing

Note: These probabilities are based on 20,000 simulations. A win probability of 0.0 doesn't necessarily mean that a team has a zero percent chance of winning the tournament – it means that the team did not win the tournament in any of the 20,000 simulations.

Match probabilities

Individual match probabilities are stored in files named like wwc-matches-YYYYMMDD-HHMMSS.csv.

HeaderDefinition
team1_winThe probability that team1 will beat team2
team2_winThe probability that team2 will beat team1
tieThe probability the game will end in a tie

For the Women's World Cup predictions interactive, click here.

For an explanation of WSPI, click here.

This dataset was scraped from FiveThirtyEight - womens-world-cup-predictions

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